Prevalence and distribution of fecal indicator organisms in South Florida beach sand and preliminary assessment of health effects associated with beach sand exposure   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

Bonilla TD  Nowosielski K  Cuvelier M  Hartz A  Green M  Esiobu N  McCorquodale DS  Fleisher JM  Rogerson A 《Marine pollution bulletin》2007,54(9):1472-1482

Fecal indicator levels in nearshore waters of South Florida are routinely monitored to assess microbial contamination at recreational beaches. However, samples of sand from the surf zone and upper beach are not monitored which is surprising since sand may accumulate and harbor fecal-derived organisms. This study examined the prevalence of fecal indicator organisms in tidally-affected beach sand and in upper beach sand and compared these counts to levels in the water. Since indicator organisms were statistically elevated in sand relative to water, the study also considered the potential health risks associated with beach use and exposure to sand. Fecal coliforms, Escherichia coli, enterococci, somatic coliphages, and F(+)-specific coliphages were enumerated from sand and water at three South Florida beaches (Ft. Lauderdale Beach, Hollywood Beach, and Hobie Beach) over a 2-year period. Bacteria were consistently more concentrated in 100g samples of beach sand (2-23 fold in wet sand and 30-460 fold in dry sand) compared to 100ml samples of water. Somatic coliphages were commonly recovered from both sand and water while F(+)-specific coliphages were less commonly detected. Seeding experiments revealed that a single specimen of gull feces significantly influenced enterococci levels in some 3.1m(2) of beach sand. Examination of beach sand on a micro-spatial scale demonstrated that the variation in enterococci density over short distances was considerable. Results of multiple linear regression analysis showed that the physical and chemical parameters monitored in this study could only minimally account for the variation observed in indicator densities. A pilot epidemiological study was conducted to examine whether the length of exposure to beach water and sand could be correlated with health risk. Logistic regression analysis results provided preliminary evidence that time spent in the wet sand and time spent in the water were associated with a dose-dependent increase in gastrointestinal illness.  相似文献   

地球系统动力学模式和模拟研究的进展   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

曾庆存  林朝晖 《地球科学进展》2010,25(1):1-6

概述地球系统动力学模式的由来及国内外目前的研究和模拟进展。地球系统动力学模式是描述全球气候以及生态和环境系统的整体耦合演变的数学表达。利用他作大规模数值模拟,以便认识和预测全球和区域的气候和生态环境变化,有效应对防灾减灾和规划可持续发展等。目前国内外尚未完全研制出可供实用的地球系统模式,还须二三年时间。  相似文献   

某储油库地下水有机污染健康风险评价   总被引：10，自引：2，他引：8  

李政红  张胜  毕二平  于娟  王文中  马丽莎  马琳娜  何泽  张翼龙 《地球学报》2010,31(2):258-262

本文以USEPA推荐使用的污染场地健康风险评价方法为基础, 结合污染场地实际情况, 分析、评价了某储油库地下水有机污染对场址内暴露人群造成的健康风险。评价结果表明: 该储油库地下水有机污染物为1,2-二氯乙烷、苯、三氯甲烷和甲苯。污染场址内的工人和居民受到的非致癌风险均小于1, 在可接受范围; 而污染对场址内的工人和居民产生的致癌风险较大, 分别为1.7×10?4、9.0×10?3, 是不可接受的。产生致癌风险的主要污染物为1, 2-二氯乙烷, 占总致癌风险的99.80%, 可致人产生多种形态的肿瘤, 并具有潜在的遗传毒性。主要暴露途径是吸入吸收, 占总致癌风险比例大于70%, 其次为口入吸收。皮肤接触暴露途径产生的致癌风险较小, 占总致癌风险比例小于1%。  相似文献   

基于DPSIR模型的河西走廊农田防护林健康评价     

李雪宁  徐先英  杨雪梅  郑桂恒  刘虎俊  付贵全  陈芳  边小云 《中国沙漠》2023,43(1):234-243

农田防护林健康对维护绿洲生态安全、减少风沙灾害、改善局地小气候、提高农作物产量等具有重要的意义。综合运用熵值法和层次分析法确定指标权重,基于驱动力-压力-状态-影响-响应（DPSIR）模型对河西走廊农田防护林健康状况进行了评价。结果表明：（1）河西走廊农田防护林整体上处于亚健康水平,瓜州县、酒泉市肃州区、嘉峪关市和临泽县的农田防护林处于健康水平,民勤、民乐、高台和阿克塞的农田防护林处于不健康水平,其余区县农田防护林处于亚健康状态。（2）林带连续性、疏透度、修枝情况和地区经济收入是驱动区域农田防护林健康状况的关键因素。  相似文献   

一种基于改进SEIR模型的突发公共卫生事件风险动态评估与预测方法——以欧洲十国COVID-19为例     

毕佳  王贤敏  胡跃译  罗孟涵  张俊华  胡凤昌  丁子洋 《地球信息科学学报》2021,23(2):259-273

突发公共卫生事件会严重影响社会公众生命健康,风险评估和预测可为突发公共卫生事件有效防控提供科学依据。本文提出了一种基于SEIR模型的突发公共卫生事件风险动态评估与预测方法,将突发公共卫生事件传播与人口、医疗、经济情况相结合,耦合危险性与脆弱性,建立合理的风险评估综合指标体系,利用熵值—层次分析组合模型实现突发公共卫生事件风险动态评估。此外,本文建立了传染病传播动力学修正SEIR模型,将传染病传播动力学模拟预测与风险评估相结合,实现突发公共卫生事件演变趋势的预测和风险的动态预测。2019年12月底的COVID-19疫情是一次传播速度快、感染范围广、防控难度大的重大突发公共卫生事件。本文以欧洲10国COVID-19疫情为例,开展风险评估与风险动态预测研究,依据欧洲10国自疫情开始至2020年4月16日的疫情数据,预测了2020年4月17日—2020年5月10日疫情演变的趋势,进而实现了10国的疫情风险动态预测。本文模型预测结果表明至2020年5月10日欧洲10国疫情形势仍然严峻,预测数据与真实数据的拟合优度R ²大于0.92,预测结果与疫情真实情况基本一致,在此情况下,复工复产对于疫情防控仍然是不利的。本文提出的基于SEIR模型的公共卫生事件风险动态评估与预测方法为疫情已然传播开的国家和地区提供了风险持续评估和预测的可能,为后期疫情防控决策提供了支持,同时也可用于今后新的疫情发生时期或其他突发性公共卫生事件下风险的应急评估和预测。  相似文献   

Performance of a northwestern Mediterranean bottom trawl fleet: How the integration of landings and VMS data can contribute to the implementation of ecosystem-based fisheries management     

《Marine Policy》2014

The European Union has established a framework to achieve or maintain good environmental status in the marine environment by 2020. The Marine Strategy Framework Directive requires the application of the ecosystem approach to the management of human activities, covering all sectors having an impact on the marine environment. However, fisheries in the Mediterranean are far from a systematic implementation of an ecosystem-based fisheries management (EBFM). Aiming to address this issue, this study explores the potential of the relationship between daily yield by vessel (landings and income by species) and vessel position (known via vessel monitoring system) as a tool for fleet management. This approach is possible due to the current dynamics of Mediterranean fleets, with vessels returning daily to the harbour where landings are registered as weight and income by vessel. Moreover, vessels of >15 m total length have been compulsory monitored by VMS since 2005. A bottom trawl fleet that operates in the northwestern Mediterranean was chosen to develop this approach. Different groups of trawlers were identified, which could be linked to the strategies displayed by the fishermen that were mainly driven by the target species dynamics. Accurate knowledge of the fishing targets driving the fleet dynamics and of the fishing strategies at the vessel level (i.e. fishing ground habitat where the fishing pressure is exerted and corresponding landings) are shown to be a feasible tool for fleet management.  相似文献   

Integrating environmental variables and WorldView-2 image data to improve the prediction and mapping of Thaumastocoris peregrinus (bronze bug) damage in plantation forests     

《ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing》2014

This study integrated environmental variables together with high spectral resolution WorldView-2 imagery to detect and map Thaumastocoris peregrinus damage in Eucalypt plantation forests in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. The WorldView-2 bands, vegetation indices and environmental variables were entered separately into PLS regression models to predict T. peregrinus damage. The datasets were then integrated to test the collective strength in predicting T. peregrinus damage. Important variables were identified by variable importance (VIP) scores and were re-entered into a PLS regression model. The VIP model was then extrapolated to map the severity of damage and predicted T. peregrinus damage with an R² value of 0.71 and a RMSE of 3.26% on an independent test dataset. The red edge and near-infrared bands of the WorldView-2 sensor together with the temperature dataset were identified as important variables in predicting T. peregrinus damage. The results indicate the potential of integrating WorldView-2 data and environmental variables to improve the mapping and monitoring of insect outbreaks in plantation forests. The result is critical for plantation health monitoring using a new sensor which contains important vegetation wavelengths.  相似文献   

Outstanding challenges for urban conservation research and action     

《Global Environmental Change》2014

Researchers, advocates and policymakers have proposed urban conservation as an emerging, integrative discipline that can contribute to sustainable cities by delivering co-benefits to human and non-human components of biodiversity. Given the recent growth in biodiversity-friendly designs and management schemes, there is an urgent need for a synthesis of this fragmented research base to inform planners and decision-makers. We conducted a systematic multidisciplinary literature review (787 papers) and found that the importance of urban areas for general conservation is not convincingly supported by empirical research. Only few studies demonstrated that cities can directly contribute to conservation efforts, by hosting viable populations of rare or endangered species, or by providing green corridors for the passage of natural populations. From a social perspective, while several studies demonstrated that green infrastructure could provide services for people (notably cultural services), only few studies explored the role of species diversity per se. Our review also shows strong geographical, location and taxonomic biases in urban biodiversity conservation research that make generalisations difficult. It is a disturbing paradox that while research in urban biodiversity conservation is rising exponentially, the main motivations for conserving urban biodiversity remain largely untested and unproven. We thus propose a framework for promoting integrative urban conservation research to bridge those gaps. Together, these findings warn against expanding cities under green planning and call for enhancing biodiversity experience by improving the quality of existing green spaces throughout the entire urban matrix. We provide a set of recommendations for practitioners and decision-makers to continue action.  相似文献   

利用地面三维激光扫描进行桥梁挠度变形分析     

赵立都  向中富  周银  马下平  张双成  司梦元  陈茂霖  胡川  潘建平 《测绘通报》2022,(5):95-100

针对常规桥梁挠度变形分析方法仅能获取有限数量离散监测点的几何变形,且存在自动化程度低、效率低、局限性大的问题,本文提出了一种基于点云数据的桥梁挠度变形分析方法。首先通过地面三维激光扫描仪获取桥梁变形体上的点云数据,经过精确配准,获取可靠点云数据。然后利用滑动窗口法得到桥梁线形,并通过两期线形叠差分析得到桥梁挠度变化。最后以跨度40 m+65 m+40 m的连续钢构桥实体工程为试验对象,利用本文方法发现该桥梁存在最小值为8 mm、跨中最大值为17.5 mm、平均值为14.9 mm的挠度变形。结果表明,该方法理论严密、计算效率高、简单实用。研究结果对三维激光扫描技术在变形监测领域的深度应用有重要借鉴意义。  相似文献   

典型矿区深层地下水重金属含量特征及健康风险评价——以皖北矿区为例   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

林曼利  桂和荣  彭位华  孙林华  陈松  李致春 《地球学报》2014,35(5):589-598

以皖北矿区为例,分析测试了不同含水层(松散、煤系、太灰、奥灰)中的6种重金属元素(Cd、Cr、Cu、Zn、Pb、Ni),对其含量特征及健康风险评价进行了研究。结果表明,6种重金属在不同含水层含量大小次序各不一样,从整体来看,研究区地下水中所测重金属含量依次为NiZnPbCuCdCr,与太灰水一致;整体地下水中Cr、Cu和Zn均未超过(GB/T14848—93)中Ⅲ类水质标准,Cd、Pb和Ni有部分水样超过标准限值。化学致癌物Cd和Cr在各含水层所致健康危害风险值数量级在10-6~10-4 a-1,Cr健康风险值在各含水层中均大于Cd,Cr在煤系含水层危害风险值(1.29×10-4 a-1)已超过美国环境保护局(USEPA)最大可接受风险(1×10-4 a-1),为研究区首要的环境健康风险管理控制指标。化学非致癌物Cu、Zn、Pb、Ni四种重金属健康危害风险值较小,数量级在10–11~10-8 a-1,Pb和Ni健康危害风险值相对较高,也应引起重视。各含水层总的健康风险值大小次序为:煤系太灰奥灰松散,前三者已超过国际辐射防护委员会(ICRP)推荐的(5×10-5 a-1)最大可接受风险,其中煤系含水层总的健康风险值为1.46×10-4 a-1,已超过USEPA(1×10-4 a-1)推荐的最大可接受风险。对矿区深层地下水开展重金属含量分析和健康风险评价,可为地下水水资源的开采利用和保护提供参考。  相似文献